Working Papers

Please follow the link for "How to submit a working paper." Questions about submitting a working paper can be directed to Maria Tebb at mrtebb@uw.edu.

Working Papers listed below are available for download in postscript or PDF format unless stated otherwise. If you are unable to download any of the Working Papers listed below please contact: the webmaster or csss@uw.edu.


2014

Working Paper no. 144 (2210K bytes)
"Online Information Behaviors During Disaster Events: Roles, Routines, and Reactions"
Harrison T. Reeder, Tyler McCormick, and Emma Spiro
August 2014

Working Paper no. 143 (983K bytes)
"A Singular Value Decomposition-based Factorization and Parsimonious Component Model of Demographic Quantities Correlated by Age: Predicting Complete Demographic Age Schedules with Few Parameters"
Samuel J. Clark
May 2014

2013

Working Paper no. 142 (403K bytes)
"Equivariant and scale-free Tucker decomposition models"
Peter Hoff
December 2013

Working Paper no. 141 (407K bytes)
"Partial Identi…cation and Inference in Censored Quantile Regression: A Sensitivity Analysis"
Yanqin Fan and Ruixuan Liu
December 2013

Working Paper no. 140 (362K bytes)
"A Direct Approach to Inference in Nonparametric and Semiparametric Quantile Models"
Yanqin Fan and Ruixuan Liu
December 2013

Working Paper no. 139 (522K bytes)
"Latent Space Models for Multiview Network Data"
Michael Salter-Townshend and Tyler McCormick
December 2013

Working Paper no. 138 (857K bytes)
"Bayesian Reconstruction of Two-Sex Populations by Age: Estimating Sex Ratios at Birth and Sex Ratios of Mortality"
Mark C. Wheldon, Adrian E. Raftery, Samuel J. Clark, and Patrick Gerland
December 2013

Working Paper no. 137 (1730K bytes)
"Measurement of Human Mobility Using Cell Phone Data: Developing Big Data for Demographic Science"
Adrian Dobra, Timothy Thomas, Nathalie Williams, and Matthew Dunbar
November 2013

Working Paper no. 136 (357K bytes)
"Bayesian Probabilistic Projection of International Migration Rates"
Jonathan J. Azose and Adrian E. Raftery
October 2013

Working Paper no. 135 (484K bytes)
"bayesPop: Probabilistic Population Projections"
Hana Sevčíková and Adrian E. Raftery
October 2013

Working Paper no. 134 (936K bytes)
"Different Regions, Differences in Energy Consumption: Do regions account for the variability in household energy consumption?"
Hossein Estiri, Ryan Gabriel, Eric Howard, and Li Wang
September 2013

Working Paper no. 133 (323K bytes)
"InSilicoVA: A Method to Automate Cause of Death Assignment for Verbal Autopsy"
Samuel J. Clark, Tyler McCormick, Richard Zehang Li, and Jon Wakefield
August 2013

Working Paper no. 132 (696K bytes)
"Testing for Nodal Dependence in Relational Data Matrices"
Alexander Volfovsky and Peter Hoff
June 2013

Working Paper no. 131 (293K bytes)
"Testing and Modeling Dependencies Between a Network and Nodal Attributes"
Bailey K. Fosdick and Peter Hoff
June 2013

Working Paper no. 130 (3285K bytes)
"Latent space models for networks using Aggregated Relational Data"
Tyler McCormick and Tian Zheng
June 2013

Working Paper no. 129 (272K bytes)
"Estimating Population Size Using the Network Scale Up Method"
Rachael Maltiel, Adrian Raftery, and Tyler McCormick
June 2013

Working Paper no. 128 (1002K bytes)
"Single World Intervention Graphs (SWIGs): A Unification of the Counterfactual and Graphical Approaches to Causality"
Thomas Richardson and James Robins
April 2013

Working Paper no. 127 (399K bytes)
"Using Twitter for Demographic and Social Science Research: Tools for Data Collection"
Tyler McCormick, Hedwig Lee, Nina Cesare, and Ali Shojaie
April 2013

2012

Working Paper no. 126 (329K bytes)
"Regional Probabilistic Fertility Forecasting by Modeling Between-Country Correlations"
Bailey Fosdick and Adrian E. Raftery
December 2012

Working Paper no. 125 (329K bytes)
"Latent Demographic Profile Estimation in Hard-to-Reach Groups"
Tyler McCormick and Tian Zheng
November 2012

Working Paper no. 124 (409K bytes)
"Separable Factor Analysis with Applications to Mortality Data"
Bailey K. Fosdick and Peter Hoff
November 2012

Working Paper no. 123 (153K bytes)
"Bayesian Inference for Two-Phase Studies with Categorical Covariates"
Michelle Ross and Jon Wakefield
November 2012

Working Paper no. 122 (155K bytes)
"Alleviating Ecological Bias in Poisson Models using Optimal Subsampling: The Effects of Jim Crow on Black Illiteracy in the Robinson Data"
Adam N. Glynn and Jon Wakefield
November 2012

Working Paper no. 121 (409K bytes)
"Clustering South African Households Based on their Asset Status Using Latent Variable Models"
Damien McParland, Isobel Gormley, Samuel Clark, Tyler McCormick, Chodziwadziwa Kabudula, and Mark Collinson
October 2012

Working Paper no. 120 (371K bytes)
"Evaluation of Heckman Selection Model Method for Correcting Estimates of HIV Prevalence from Sample Surveys"
Samuel J. Clark and Brian Houle
September 2012

Working Paper no. 119 (4269K bytes)
"An Application of the Biprobit Heckman Selection Model to Correct Estimates of HIV Prevalence from Sample Surveys"
Samuel J. Clark and Brian Houle
September 2012

Working Paper no. 118 (834K bytes)
"Hyak Mortality Monitoring System Innovative Sampling and Estimation Methods"
Samuel J. Clark, Jon Wakefield, Tyler McCormick, and Michelle Ross
September 2012

Working Paper no. 117 (468K bytes)
"Bayesian Reconstruction of Past Populations and Vital Rates by Age for Developing and Developed Countries"
Mark C. Wheldon, Adrian E. Raftery, Samuel J. Clark, Patrick Gerland
September 2012

Working Paper no. 116 (561K bytes)
"Disaster Response on September 11, 2001: Through the Lens of Statistical Network Analysis"
Michael Schweinberger, Miruna Petrescu-Prahova, and Duy Quang Vu
August 2012

Working Paper no. 115 (408K bytes)
"Hierarchical Array Priors for ANOVA Decompositions"
Alex Volfovsky and Peter Hoff
August 2012

Working Paper no. 114 (462K bytes)
"Key Advances in the History of Structural Equation Modeling"
Ross L. Matsueda
June 2012

2011

Working Paper no. 113 (486K bytes)
"Modeling Criminal Careers as Departures from a Unimodal Population Age-Crime Curve: The Case of Marijuana Use"
Donatello Telesca, Elena A. Erosheva, Derek A. Kreager, and Ross L. Matsueda
December 2011

Working Paper no. 112 (499K bytes)
"Coordinate free analysis of trends in British social mobility"
Anna Klimova and Tamas Rudas
November 2011

Working Paper no. 111 (1.2M bytes)
"bayesTFR: An R Package for Probabilistic Projections of the Total Fertility Rate"
Hana Sevcikova, Leontine Alkema, and Adrian Raftery
April 2011

Working Paper no. 110 (110K bytes)
"Robust FDI Determinants: Bayesian Model Averaging In The Presence Of Selection Bias"
Theo S. Eicher, Lindy Helfman, and Alex Lenkoski
April 2011

Working Paper no. 109 (218K bytes)
"Relational models for contingency tables"
Anna Klimova, Tamas Rudas, and Adrian Dobra
March 2011

Working Paper no. 108 (681K bytes)
"Estimating Demographic Parameters with Uncertainty from Fragmentary Data"
Mark C. Wheldon, Adrian Raftery, Samuel J. Clark, and Patrick Gerland
March 2011

Working Paper no. 107 (4.5M bytes)
"Contemporary Model Life Tables for Developed Countries: An Application of Model-based Clustering"
Samuel J. Clark and David J. Sharrow
February 2011

2010

Working Paper no. 106 (694K bytes)
"Estimates of Age-Specific Reductions in HIV Prevalence in Uganda: Bayesian Melding Estimation and Probabilistic Population Forecast with an HIV-enabled Cohort Component Projection Model"
Samuel J. Clark, Jason Thomas, and Le Bao
August 2010 (posted November, 2010)

Working Paper no. 105 (596K bytes)
"Bayesian Probabilistic Projections of Life Expectancy for All Countries"
Jennifer L. Chunn, Adrian Raftery, and Patrick Gerland
October 2010.

Working Paper no. 104 (338K bytes)
"Separable covariance arrays via the Tucker product, with applications to multivariate relational data"
Peter Hoff
August 2010

Working Paper no. 103 (2.2M bytes)
"Estimating the Size of Populations at High Risk of HIV in Bangladesh Using a Bayesian Hierarchical Model"
Le Bao, Adrian E. Raftery, and Amala Reddy
August 2010

Working Paper no. 102 (4M bytes)
"The Age-Pattern of Increases in Mortality Affected by HIV: Bayesian Fit of the Heligman-Pollard Model to Data from the Agincourt HDSS Field Site in Rural Northeast South Africa"
David J. Sharrow, Samuel J. Clark, Mark A. Collinson, Kathleen Kahn, and Stephen M. Tollman
August 2010

Working Paper no. 101 (1M bytes)
"Fast Inference for the Latent Space Network Model Using a Case-Control Approximate Likelihood"
Adrian E. Raftery, Xiaoyue Niu, Peter Hoff, and Ka Yee Yeung
July 2010

Working Paper no. 100 (629K bytes)
"Alternative Graphical Causal Models and the Identification of Direct Effects"
James Robins and Thomas Richardson
March 2010

Working Paper no. 99 (978K bytes)
"Analysis of the Binary Instrumental Variable Model"
Thomas Richardson and James M. Robins
March 2010

Working Paper no. 98 (422K bytes)
"A Dynamic Hierarchical Bayesian Model for the Probability of Default"
Yousung Park, Sibel Sirakaya, and Tae Young Kim
February, 2010.

Working Paper no. 97 (5M bytes)
"Probabilistic Projections of the Total Fertility Rate for All Countries"
Leontine Alkema, Adrian E. Raftery, Patrick Gerland, Samuel J. Clark, Francois Pelletier, and Thomas Buettner
January, 2010.

2009

Working Paper no. 96 (461K bytes)
"A Covariance Regression Model"
Peter Hoff and Xiaoyue Niu
December 2009

Working Paper no. 95 (438K bytes)
"Hierarchical multilinear models for multiway data"
Peter Hoff
December 2009

Working Paper no. 94 (319K bytes)
"Bayesian Model Averaging and Endogeneity Under Model Uncertainty: An Application to Development Determinants"
Theo S. Eicher, Alex Lenkoski, and Adrian E. Raftery
November 2009

Working Paper no. 93 (301K bytes)
"Computational Models Frame New and Outstanding Biological Questions of Mycobacterium tuberculosis"
Jerusha T. Achterberg
October 2009

Working Paper no. 92 (431K bytes)
"The Dynamics of Poverty and Migration in a Rural South African Community, 2001-2005"
Mark A. Collinson, Samuel J. Clark, Annette A.M. Gerritsen, Peter Byass, Kathleen Kahn, and Stephen M. Tollman
October 2009

Working Paper no. 91 (4.5M bytes)
"Beyond Schelling: The Role of Attitudes toward In-group and Out-group Members in Ethnic Residential Settlement and Segregation"
Miruna Petrescu-Prahova
October 2009

Working Paper no. 90 (749K bytes)
"Assessing Uncertainty About the Benefits of Transportation Infrastructure Projects Using Bayesian Melding: Application to Seattle's Alaskan Way Viaduct"
Hana Sevcikova, Adrian E. Raftery , and Paul A. Waddell
March 2009

2008

Working Paper no. 89 (963K bytes)
"Estimating the Total Fertility Rate from Multiple Imperfect Data Sources and Assessing its Uncertainty"
Leontine Alkema, Adrian E. Raftery, Patrick Gerland, Samuel J. Clark, and Francois Pelletier
November, 2008.

Working Paper no. 88 (434K bytes)
"More on the Cohort-Component Model of Population Projection in the Context of HIV/AIDS: A Leslie Matrix Representation and New Estimation Methods"
Jason Thomas and Sam Clark
November, 2008

Working Paper no. 87 (366K bytes)
"Modeling uncertainty in macroeconomic growth determinants using Gaussian graphical models"
Adrian Dobra , Theo S. Eicher, and Alex Lenkoski
June, 2008

Working Paper no. 86 (490K bytes)
"A hierarchical eigenmodel for pooled covariance estimation"
Peter Hoff
March, 2008

Working Paper no. 85 (1.0M bytes)
"Demographic Consequences of HIV Epidemics and Effects of Different Male Circumcision Intervention Designs: Suggestive Findings from Microsimulation"
Sam Clark , Jeffrey W. Eaton, Michelle M. Elmquist, Natalie R. Ottenweiller and Jenna K. Snavely
March, 2008

Working Paper no. 84 (403K bytes)
"The mode oriented stochastic search (MOSS) algorithm for log-linear models with conjugate priors"
Adrian Dobra and Helene Massam
March, 2008

Working Paper no. 83 (278K bytes)
"The Generalized Shuttle Algorithm"
Adrian Dobra and Stephen E. Fienberg
February, 2008

Working Paper no. 82 (856K bytes)
"Bayesian melding for estimating uncertainty in national HIV prevalence estimates"
Leontine Alkema, Adrian E. Raftery, and Tim Brown
February, 2008

2007

Working Paper no. 81 (3.4M bytes)
"Modeling homophily and stochastic equivalence in symmetric relational data"
Peter Hoff
November, 2007

Working Paper no. 80 (207K bytes)
"Unraveling the Fortunes of the Fortunate: An Iterative Bayesian Model Averaging (IBMA) Approach"
Theo Eicher , Chris Papageorgiou, and Oliver Roehn
October, 2007

Working Paper no. 79 (407K bytes)
"In Search of a Sulphur Dioxide Environmental Kuznets Curve: A Bayesian Model Averaging Approach"
Jeffrey Begun and Theo Eicher
October, 2007

Working Paper no. 78 (173K bytes)
"Trade Creation and Diversion Revisited: Accounting for Model Uncertainty and Natural Trading Partner Effects"
Theo Eicher , Christian Henn, and Chris Papageorgiou
October, 2007.

Working Paper no. 77 (1.6M bytes)
"Representing Degree Distributions, Clustering, and Homophily in Social Networks With Latent Cluster Random Effects Models"
Pavel Krivitsky, Mark S. Handcock , Adrian E. Raftery , and Peter Hoff
August, 2007

Working Paper no. 76 (408K bytes)
"Determining Growth Determinants: Default Priors and Predictive Performance in Bayesian Model Averaging"
Theo Eicher , Chris Papageorgiou, and Adrian E. Raftery
August, 2007

Working Paper no. 75 (369K bytes)
"Modeling Social Networks with Sampled or Missing Data"
Mark S. Handcock and Krista Gile
April, 2007

Working Paper no. 74 (486K bytes)
"Comparison of Maximum Pseudo Likelihood and Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Exponential Family Random Graph Models"
Marijtje A.J. van Duijn, Krista Gile, and Mark S. Handcock
April, 2007

Working Paper no. 73 (485K bytes)
"Split-Sample Score Tests in Linear Instrumental Variables Regression"
Saraswata Chaudhuri, Thomas Richardson , James Robins, and Eric Zivot
Revised version: June 2006

Original version (485K bytes)
March, 2007

Working Paper no. 72 (346K bytes)
"The Yield Curve Through Time and Across Maturities"
Richard Startz and Kwok Ping Tsang
February, 2007

Working Paper no. 70 (287K bytes)
"The Effect of Weather Forecast Uncertainty Visualization on Decision Making"
Limor Nadav-Greenberg, Susan L. Joslyn, and Meng U. Taing
January, 2007.

Working Paper no. 69 (739K bytes)
"Probabilistic Projections of HIV Prevalence Using Bayesian Melding"
Leontine Alkema, Adrian E. Raftery , and Sam Clark
January, 2007

2006

Working Paper no. 68 (202K bytes)
"Kruskal-Wallis and Friedman type tests for nested effects in hierarchical designs"
Assaf P. Oron and Peter Hoff
December 2006

Working Paper no. 67 (101K bytes)
"Interpreting Product-Variable Models of Interaction Effects"
Lowell Hargens
Revised version: February 2008

Original version (92K bytes)
November 2006

Working Paper no. 66 (117K bytes)
"Model-based Assessment of the Impact of Missing Data on Inference for Networks"
Krista Gile and Mark S. Handcock
November 2006

Working Paper no. 65 (502K bytes)
"Marginal Set Likelihood for Semiparametric Copula Estimation"
Peter Hoff
October 2006

Working Paper no. 64 (742K bytes)
"Sequential Importance Sampling for Bipartite Graphs With Applications to Likelihood-Based Inference"
Ryan Admiraal and Mark S. Handcock
August 2006

Working Paper no. 63 (459K bytes)
"The Effect of Probabilistic Information on Threshold Forecasts"
Susan Joslyn, Karla Pak, David Jones, John Pyles, and Earl Hunt
July 2006

Working Paper no. 62 (474K bytes)
"Strategies in Naturalistic Decision-Making: A Cognitive Task Analysis of Naval Weather Forecasting"
Susan Joslyn and David Jones
July 2006

Working Paper no. 61 (549K bytes)
"Measuring the NAIRU with Reduced Uncertainty: A Multiple Indicator-Common Cycle Approach"
Arabinda Basistha and Richard Startz
June 2006

Working Paper no. 60(2.0M bytes)
"Estimating the Integrated Likelihood via Posterior Simulation Using the Harmonic Mean Identity"
Adrian E. Raftery , Michael A. Newton, Jaya M. Satagopan, and Pavel Krivitsky
Revised version: June 2006

Original version (2.0M bytes)
April 2006.

Working Paper no. 59 (264K bytes)
"Identification and Likelihood Inference for Recursive Linear Models with Correlated Errors"
Mathias Drton, Michael Eichler, and Thomas Richardson
March 2006

Working Paper no. 58 (244K bytes)
"A Joint Econometric Model of Marriage and Partner Choice"
Elaina Rose
March 2006

Working Paper no. 57 (707K bytes)
"Assessing Uncertainty in Urban Simulations Using Bayesian Melding"
Hana Sevcikova, Adrian E. Raftery , and Paul Waddell
February 2006.

Working Paper no. 56 (244K bytes)
"Binomial Autoregressive Moving Average Models with an Application to U.S. Recessions"
Richard Startz
February 2006

Working Paper no. 55 (450K bytes)
"Everybody Out of the Pool! Reconstructing the Democratic Peace"
Michael D. Ward , Randolph M. Siverson, and Xun Cao
February 2006

Working Paper no. 54 (205K bytes)
"Multiplicative latent factor models for description and prediction of social networks"
Peter Hoff
January 2006

2005

Working Paper no. 53 (1.6M bytes) [PDF(3.2M bytes )]
"Education and Hypergamy, and the 'Success Gap'"
Elaina Rose
October 2005.

Working Paper no. 52 (1.6M bytes) [PDF(289K bytes )]
"Recidivism and Social Interactions"
Sibel Sirakaya
October 2005

Working Paper no. 51 (1.3M bytes) [PDF(353K bytes )]
"Alleviating Linear Ecological Bias and Optimal Design with Subsample Data"
Adam Glynn, Jon Wakefield, Mark S. Handcock , and Thomas Richardson
September 2005

Working Paper no. 50 (480K bytes) [PDF(106K bytes )]
"Will the Market Bear Your Asking Price?"
Elena Erosheva
August 2005

Working Paper no. 49 (9.9M bytes) [PDF(1.3M bytes )]
"Spectral Clustering for Microsoft Netscan Data"
Anne Patrikainen and Marina Meila
July 2005.

Working Paper no. 48 (1.0M bytes) [PDF(119K bytes )]
"Generalised Linear Models Incorporating Population Level Information: An Empirical Likelihood Based Approach"
Sanjay Chauduri, Mark S. Handcock and Michael S. Rendall
May 2005

Working Paper no. 47 (1.8M bytes) [PDF(164K bytes )]
"Goodness of Fit of Social Network Models"
David R. Hunter, Mark S. Handcock and Steven M. Goodreau
April 2005

Working Paper no. 46 (1.5M bytes) [PDF(341K bytes )]
"Model-Based Clustering for Social Networks"
Mark S. Handcock , Adrian E. Raftery and Jeremy Tantrum
April 2005

Working Paper no. 45 (9.6M bytes) [PDF(2.7M bytes )]
"Persistent Patterns of International Commerce"
Michael D. Ward and Peter Hoff
January 2005

2004

Working Paper no. 44 (960K bytes) [PDF(181K bytes )]
"Interval Estimates for Epidemic Thresholds in Two-Sex Network Models"
Mark S. Handcock and James Holland Jones
August 2004

Working Paper no. 43 (6.1M bytes) [PDF(238K bytes )]
"Inference in curved exponential family models for networks"
David R. Hunter and Mark S. Handcock
August 2004

Working Paper no. 42 (12M bytes) [PDF(544K bytes )]
"New specifications for exponential random graph models"
Tom A.B. Snijders, Phillippa E. Pattison, Garry L. Robbins and Mark S. Handcock
April 2004

Working Paper no. 41 (1.9M bytes) [PDF(510K bytes )]
"Positional Estimation within the Latent Space Model for Networks"
Susan Shortreed and Mark S. Handcock
April 2004

Working Paper no. 40 (856K bytes) [PDF(144K bytes )]
"Bayesian Mixed Membership Models for Soft Classification"
Elena Erosheva and Stephen E. Fienberg
April 2004

2003

Working Paper no. 39 (17M bytes) [PDF(854K bytes )]
"Assessing Degeneracy in Statistical Models of Social Networks"
Mark S. Handcock
December 2003

Working Paper no. 38 (1.4M bytes) [PDF(255K bytes )]
"Model-based Clustering with Dissimilarities: A Bayesian Approach"
Man-Suk Oh and Adrian E. Raftery
December 2003

Working Paper no. 37 (6.6M bytes) [PDF(2.7M bytes )]
"A Statistical View of Learning in the Centipede Game"
Anton Westveld and Peter Hoff
December 2003

Working Paper no. 36 (1.5M bytes) [PDF(360K bytes )]
"Improved regression estimation of a multivariate relationship with population data on the bivariate relationship"
Mark S. Handcock , Michael S. Rendall, and Jacob E. Cheadle
September 2003

Working Paper no. 35 (3.2M bytes) [PDF(7.4M bytes )]
"Modeling Dependencies in International Relations Networks"
Peter Hoff and Michael D. Ward
September 2003

Working Paper no. 34 (274K bytes) [PDF(316K bytes )]
"Long-Run Performance of Bayesian Model Averaging"
Adrian E. Raftery and Yingye Zheng
July 2003

Working Paper no. 33 (32M bytes) [PDF(283K bytes )]
"Does Education Really Disadvantage Women in the Marriage Market?"
Elaina Rose
July 2003

Working Paper no. 32 (968K bytes) [PDF(338K bytes )]
"Bilinear Mixed Effects Models for Dyadic Data"
Peter Hoff
July 2003

Working Paper no. 31 [PDF(193K bytes )]
"On 'Sexual contacts and epidemic thresholds,' models and inference for Sexual partnership distributions"
Mark S. Handcock , James Holland Jones and Martina Morris
May 2003

Working Paper no. 30 [PDF(424K bytes )]
"Hearing about a Job: A model of Differential Information Flow and Job Matching"
Katherine Stovel and Christine Fountain
April 2003

Working Paper no. 29(938K bytes) [PDF(221K bytes )]
"Likelihood-Based Inference for Stochastic Models of Sexual Network Formation"
Mark S. Handcock and James Holland Jones
January 2003

Working Paper no. 28(1.3M bytes) [PDF(2.2M bytes )]
"Random Effects Models for Network Data"
Peter Hoff
January 2003

2002

Working Paper no. 27 [PDF(326K bytes )]
"Applying Relative Distribution Methods in R"
Mark S. Handcock and Eric M. Aldrich
December 2002

Working Paper no. 26(1.3M bytes) [PDF(408K bytes )]
"Patterns of Supreme Court Decision-Making, 1937-2000"
Andrew D. Martin and Kevin Quinn
October 2002

Working Paper no. 25(1.0M bytes) [PDF(345K bytes )]
"Assessing Preference Change on the U.S. Supreme Court"
Andrew D. Martin and Kevin Quinn
October 2002

Working Paper no. 24(2.3M bytes) [PDF(647K bytes )]
"An Integrated Computational Model of Multiparty Electoral Competition"
Kevin Quinn and Andrew D. Martin
October 2002

Working Paper no. 23(568K bytes) [PDF(148K bytes )]
"An Assessment of Preferential Attachment as a Mechanism for Human Sexual Network Formation"
James Holland Jones and Mark S. Handcock
October 2002.

Working Paper no. 22 (1.1M bytes) [PDF (186K bytes)]
"Marriage and Assortative Mating: How Have the Patterns Changed?"
Elaina Rose
July 2002

Working Paper no. 21 [PDF (108K bytes)]
"Statistical Evidence Tells Tails of Human Sexual Contacts"
James Holland Jones and Mark S. Handcock
May 2002.

Working Paper no. 20 (417K bytes) [PDF(194K bytes)]
"On convergence of least-squares identifies for infinite AR models"
Andrey Barabanov and Yulia Gel
January 2002

Working Paper no. 19 (25K bytes) [PDF (94K bytes)]
"Discussion of Paper by Peter McCullagh"
Julian Besag
January 2002

2001

Working Paper no. 18 (298K bytes ) [PDF(223K bytes )]
"Choosing the Link Function and Accounting for Link Uncertainty in Generalized Linear Models using Bayes Factors"
Claudia Czado and Adrian E. Raftery
December 2001

Working Paper no. 17 (1.5M bytes ) [PDF(504K bytes )]
"Latent Space Approaches to Social Network Analysis"
Peter Hoff , Adrian E. Raftery and Mark S. Handcock
November 2001

Working Paper no. 16 (824K bytes ) [PDF(474K bytes )]
"Bayesian Learning about Ideal Points of U.S. Supreme Court Justices, 1953-1999"
Andrew D. Martin and Kevin Quinn
September 2001

Working Paper no. 15 (701K bytes ) [PDF(319K bytes )]
"A Parametric Two-Sided Model of Marriage"
John Allen Logan, Peter Hoff and Michael A. Newton
June 2001

Working Paper no. 14 (1.3M bytes ) [PDF(293K bytes )]
"Covariance Models for Latent Structure in Longitudinal Data"
Marc A. Scott (NYU) and Mark S. Handcock
April 2001

Working Paper no. 13 (486K bytes ) [PDF(391K bytes )]
"Statistics in Sociology, 1950-2000: A Selective Review."
Adrian E. Raftery
Feburary 2001

Working Paper no. 12 (2.2M bytes ) [PDF(950K bytes )]
Figure ( 14K bytes ) [PDF(3.2K bytes )]
"Ecological Inference for 2 x 2 Tables."
Jon Wakefield
January 2001

2000

Working Paper no. 11 (1.5M bytes ) [ PDF (1.1M bytes )]
"Model Based Clustering, Discriminant Analysis and Density Estimation."
Chris Fraley and Adrian Raftery.
October 2000

Working Paper no. 10 (1.6M bytes ) [ PDF (601K bytes )]
"Bayesian Multidimensional Scaling and Choice of Dimension."
Man-Suk Oh and Adrian Raftery.
September 2000

Working Paper no. 9 (536K bytes ) [ PDF (384K bytes )]
"Markov Chain Monte Carlo for Statistical Inference"
Julian Besag
September 2000 -- Updated February 2002.

Working Paper no. 8 (785K bytes ) [ PDF ( 55K bytes )]
"How to Measure 'What People Do For a Living' in Research on the Socioeconomic Correlates of Health"
John Robert Warren and Hsiang-Hui Kuo.
August 2000

Working Paper no. 7 (1.5M bytes ) [ PDF ( 97K bytes )]
"Family Dynamics Through Childhood: A Sibling Model of Behavior Problems"
Lingxin Hao and Ross Matsueda
April 2000

Working Paper no. 6 (257K bytes ) [ PDF (313K bytes )]
"Commerce and Democracy"
Mohan Penubarti and Michael D. Ward
Abstract
March 2000

Working Paper no. 5 (566K bytes ) [ PDF (466K bytes )]
"Location, Location, Location: An MCMC Approach to Modeling Spatial Context with Categorical Variables in the Study and Prediction of War"
Michael D. Ward and Kristian Skrede Gleditsch.
Abstract
March 2000

Working Paper no. 4 (532K bytes ) [ PDF (137K bytes )]
"Combining Registration-System and Survey Data to Estimate Birth Probabilities"
Mark S. Handcock , Sami M. Huovilainen and Michael S. Rendall.
Feburary 2000

Working Paper no. 3 [ PDF ( 87K bytes )]
"How to Measure 'What People Do For a Living' in Research on the Socioeconomic Correlates of Health."
John Robert Warren
Feburary 2000 - revised July 2000

Working Paper no. 2 [ PDF (107K bytes )]
"Employment During High School: Consequences for Students' Grades in Academic Courses."
John Robert Warren , Mark S. Handcock and Robert D. Mare.
Feburary 2000

1999

Working Paper no. 1 (344K bytes ) [ PDF (253K bytes )]
"Statistics in Sociology, 1950-2000: A Vignette."
Adrian E. Raftery
December 1999